SBC News Voice of the Sports Betting Industry
We are delighted to introduce Dave Watkins as today’s Tipster Challenge Guest. Watkins has been with Betgenius for over 5 years, starting out as Head of Connextra Sales, before becoming Commercial Manager, and finally moving into his current role as Sales Director – Digital Marketing.
He will be providing expert tips for each of today’s races at Musselburgh, alongside competition regulars bettingexpert and Timeform. Stephen Harris, Horse Racing Guru for bettingexpert, will be hoping his picks today can help close the gap on the Guests at the top of the leaderboard.
Follow all the action from Musselburgh via @SBCGAMINGNEWS.
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2:00
SBC News: Souter
With Election Day confirmed as a late non-runner, Souter can build on his promising Ayr debut with a win here.
bettingexpert: Souter
Hails from a stable really going places, and he showed plenty of ability despite coming 4th at Ayr on his recent debut.
Timeform: Souter
Just gets the nod in a tricky opener. He was doing all his best work at the finish when fourth on his racecourse bow at Ayr earlier this month, and should progress with that run under his belt.
Betgenius: Nepeta
Not much in way of form to go on in this race and I expected Election Day to be the better of the Mark Johnston pair in the race, but he’s now a non-runner. I’ll go with the stablemate, Nepeta, to improve upon previous unplaced in her first two starts.
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2:30
SBC News: Rainbow Rebel
Should be able to overcome both the 61b rise, and the threat of 14-time winner Rasaman.
bettingexpert: Ralphy Boy
Should relish the fast ground and looks a shade better value against the odds-on favourite.
Timeform: Rainbow Rebel
Showed much improved form on his return from 10 months off when decisively taking a Carlisle handicap last week, and should take plenty of beating in his follow-up bid.
Betgenius: Rasaman
Rainbow Rebel is favourite for this race and may well overcome the 6lb rise, but I just think the price is too short. Instead the pick is for the veteran Rasaman, who is a previous course winner and a large price (13/2) in my opinion.
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3:00
SBC News: Mappin Time
Won at Beverley last month, a confidence boosting win that could drive repeat success here.
bettingexpert: One Boy
Shaped better than the bare result last time out, and has ideal conditions to go close with some luck in running.
Timeform: Olivia Fallow
Olivia Fallow is respected down in class having not been beaten far after a slow start at Doncaster last time, and can bounce back to winning ways.
Betgenius: Mappin Time
I think Mappin Time seems to have checked out of the doldrums and is back to good form, indicated by the win at Beverley last month. I strongly fancy a repeat here today.
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3:30
SBC News: La Fritillaire
Shown enough battling qualities in victories at Yarmouth and Ripon to suggest the 6lb rise won’t be enough to prevent a hat-trick here.
bettingexpert: La Fritillaire
Comes here in terrific form and looks to have been found a great opening to go in again.
Timeform: La Fritillaire
Has really got her act together of late, backing up her Yarmouth victory with a gritty success at Ripon last week. She has been found another good opportunity here and is taken to land the hat-trick.
Betgenius: La Fritillaire
Unlike the 14:30 race, I expect the favourite La Fritillaire to defy the 6lb and win, but more importantly do so at a better price. Despite 2nd favourite La Bacouetteuse being close behind in the race last time out, I think the battling qualities of this horse will shine through to help her bag a hat-trick win.
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4:00
SBC News: Irish Optimism
Top three finishes in both recent Class 4 races, so taken to go better with this slight drop in grade.
bettingexpert: Glengarry
Starts off in handicaps from a fair mark, and was tapped for pace at 6f last time out in a decent maiden at Hamilton on his third run.
Timeform: Arcane Dancer
Produced a personal best when adding to her tally at Beverley last month, and pulled nicely clear of the rest when runner-up to a well-handicapped type at the same course last time.
Betgenius: Arcane Dancer
This looks a very open race with good cases for three or four of the runners. Of those horses, I fancy Arcane Dancer to improve on her previous 2nd last time out.
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4:30
SBC News: Transpennine Star
Transpennine Star has placed on his last three outings, and will go into today’s finale at Musselburgh as the marginal favourite.
bettingexpert: Ryan The Giant
Gets lumps of weight from the likely favourite, and deserves to get his head in front after finishing a creditable second on both recent starts.
Timeform: Transpennine Star
Has improved since going handicapping over longer trips, and showed a good attitude when a close third at Ayr last month. Still low-mileage, he may have more to offer yet and is taken to land the finale.
Betgenius: Transpennine Star
I fancy Transpennine Star to build upon her first three starts this season. There is a slight unknown about whether the ground will suit, but I prefer this over the others in the race. However, for a slightly bigger price, I would suggest a small bet on veteran Merchant of Dubai who looks good value at 13/2.
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