Tag Archives: Matt Shaddick

Smarkets: Boris clean from Sue Gray report as PM survival chances improve 

PM Boris Johnson remains steadfast that he will not resign over parties held at Number 10, as the UK public observed national lockdown rules, obeying his government’s orders.  The PM stated that he would ‘take full responsibility for the scandal’, as yesterday the Met published Sue Gray’s delayed report that laid bare incidents of ‘intoxicated staff, vomiting on carpets, wine …

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Smarkets: Macron holds 95% lead as Le Pen eyes biggest shock in political betting history

On Sunday 24 April, the French electorate will once again head to voting stations to decide the outcome of the General Election run-off between President Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen. The build-up to the Presidential run-off has been closely monitored by political observers across the globe, as France’s underwhelmed electorate could well vote in far-right Marine Le Pen – …

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Smarkets: Boris faces a coin-flip on leading Conservatives into next election

PM Boris Johnson may have paid a £50 fixed penalty notice for attending an ‘impromptu birthday party’ at 10 Downing Street – yet Partygate allegations continue to dog his leadership of the Conservative Party. Mocked by opposition, Johnson continues to deny that he misled the public and fellow ministers, unaware of multiple parties held at Number 10 as UK households …

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Bookies Corner: Oscars night signals a changing tide for all entertainment

On Monday 28 March, Hollywood returns to the Dolby Theatre to celebrate the 94th Academy Awards. Kicking starting 2022’s entertainment markets, how have bookmakers factored the mass changing viewer habits disrupted by COVID-19 global lockdown?  Can bookmakers trust the critics and judges, as Award contenders point to movies that have been shunned by audiences…  SBC: Following 2-years hosted under lockdown …

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Smarkets: All eyes on Sunak Statement as UK recession looms at 32% 

British households and businesses anxiously wait for Chancellor Rishi Sunak to announce his Spring Statement tomorrow, a missive that will outline how the government intends to navigate the toughest economic headwinds faced in a generation.  Yesterday the Bank of England raised interest rates back to the pre-pandemic level of 0.75%, deploying the fiscal measure to stop the economy being stunted …

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Smarkets: Odds shorten on Boris exit but punters split on PM’s successor

Just as Boris Johnson thought that he had escaped the ‘Partygate’ fiasco, Smarkets reports that the likelihood of the PM leaving Number-10 this month has risen to 43% according to morning odds of 2.13 priced on the betting exchange. A flurry of bets made against the PMs future, follows yesterday’s shock news that four of Johnson’s senior aides had resigned, …

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Smarkets: Boris hits lowest odds on 2022 premiership departure  

Boris Johnson’s premiership is ‘on the ropes’ as the PM faces mounting pressure from his party, the media and public to confess that he broke COVID national lockdown rules by attending a ‘bring your own booze’ party at Number 10 last May.  Monitoring Down Street developments, Smarkets Politics cites that PM Johnson has reached his shortest price of 1.70 (58% …

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Smarkets: North Shropshire shock sees odds spike on a Boris 2022 exit  

Last night’s surprise victory by the Liberal Democrats in the Conservative stronghold of North Shropshire has sent shockwaves across betting markets.   In the aftermath of the result, Smarkets reports that PM Boris Johnson is odds on (56%) to leave his premiership at some point in 2022, spiking up from 46% before the North Shropshire result. Of significance, the Lib Dem …

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Smarkets: Sunak Budget bluster frosty against 22% chance of recession

Smarkets Politics has registered a mixed reaction to the Autumn Budget statement, delivered by Chancellor Rishi Sunak. “Employment is up, investment is growing, public services are improving, public finances are stabilising, and wages are rising” – bellowed Sunak to the Commons, underlying the strengths of the UK economy recovering from COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, despite the Chancellor’s bluster, the latest politics …

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