This week’s Tipster Challenge guest is Laurence Jones of Colossus Bets. The Guests are currently sitting pretty at the top of the leaderboard but that could all change today at Goodwood.
Laurence is Betting Operations Manager at Colossus, and this is a position he’s held since 2012. You can follow the progress live by following @SBCGAMINGNEWS on Twitter, and use the hashtag #TipsterChallenge to have your say on proceedings.
SBC News: Wind Place and Sho
The longest race of the week is a tough cookie, Wind Place and Sho looks well placed at good odds after a storming win at Pontefract.
Has long been in the notebook to win a valuable staying handicap this season and should relish this extreme stamina test.
Timeform: The Cashel Man
The Cashel Man could have a big staying handicap like this in him judged on his efforts this year and gets the nod.
Colossus Bets: Star Rider
Usually in the Goodwood Stakes it pays to follow the National Hunt yards, but with not many represented in this renewal a chance is taken on the consistent STAR RIDER. She knows the track well and might just be unexposed at the marathon trip, having won the last time she encountered 2 miles.
SBC News: Prize Money
Needs to get right back on the horse here after a blip last time out, and we think he’ll do just that.
Bettingexpert: Prize Money
Had excuses when slightly disappointing last time out and had been shaping well previously at a useful level.
Ulysses endured a rough race for an inexperienced horse in the Derby and is taken to get right back on track here. Qatari Hunter faces a tricky task in theory, stepping into Group company having won a handicap off 96 last time, but the style of that success and his rate of improvement this year suggest he’s worth a go at this level, while Prize Money has the best form if able to bounce back.
Colossus Bets: Prize Money
Very consistent up until last time, where a stiff 1m5f may have just stretched him. An easy 1m 4f may be perfect for Prize Money here, especially if he can repeat his 2nd to Eclipse winner Hawkbill at Royal Ascot.
SBC News: Awtaad
Close call between The Ghurka and Awtaad but the latter takes it with improvement expected on fast ground. Generously priced too at 15/2.
Is taken to bounce back to his best at a track that he handles very well, and looks overpriced at the current offer of 20/1.
Timeform: The Ghurka
Tactics played a big part in the outcome of the St James’s Palace and there is a good chance The Ghurka can prove himself the best of the 3 Guineas winners on show and get the better of Galileo Gold this time. Lightning Spear looks the pick of the older brigade.
Colossus Bets: Lightning Spear
First clash of the 3yo against the older milers and I think the later group will produce the winner. There isn’t much between the 3 at the top of the market and I think value lies elsewhere with Lightning Spear. A great return at Royal Ascot behind Tepin points to an improved run again here, where he can defy the 8lb he has to give to the classic generation.
SBC News: The Last Lion
Out of five races The Last Lion has won two and placed the other three (twice in 2nd, once in third). In form and there’s every reason to believe this will be another win especially over 5f.
Looked useful when making a winning debut and can progress past some more exposed rivals here.
Timeform: Big Time Baby
Big Time Baby has looked one to follow ever since landing a strong Bath maiden on debut, and he acquitted himself really well in the Norfolk before resuming winning ways in a minor event at Chester recently. The Last Lion and Global Applause have achieved a bit more in form terms, but the selection appeals as the one with the most potential.
Colossus Bets: Global Applause
The soft ground may have gone against Global Applause in the Norfolk at Royal Ascot last time. Back on quick ground here he can show the class that saw him defeat Mehmas over 5f at Sandown in May.
SBC News: Bithynia
A few that have a chance here but Bithynia edges them after showing great pace at Sandown, and this extra furlong shouldn’t cause her any problems.
Bettingexpert: Bouquet de Flores
Caught the eye on her debut and is open to any amount of improvement given connections.
Timeform: Bouquet de Flores
Bouquet de Flores didn’t quite come up to expectations on debut, but there’s every chance she’ll show why she’s held in such high regard at the second attempt, sure to know a lot more on this occasion. Bithynia and Perfect Angel are another pair who will come on for the experience gathered on debut, and that trio will likely prove too much for some interesting newcomers.
Colossus Bets: Bithynia
It often pays to follow the experienced horses in Goodwood maidens and I’ll stick to that theory with Bithynia. She was well backed on debut at Sandown in May when beaten into 3rd by a black type filly. She herself is entered in the Lowther at York and she needs to be winning this if that is on the radar.
SBC News: Shaan
The young Shaan has performed well in her short career to date. Won at Newmarket over 10f, and is joint favourite alongside Imitation for a reason.
A tough, consistent handicapper who has held her form all summer and seems sure to be bang there in a trappy contest.
Sagely ran too badly to be true last time but she had looked a filly to keep on side prior to that, so she’s worth the chance to bounce back and take a big hand in this tightly-knit handicap. Intimation and Wholesome both leave the impression there’s a bigger effort in them at some point, particularly the former, so they’ll be dangerous if everything clicks.
Colossus Bets: Shaan
A tough handicap to solve full of unexposed fillies. Shaan is hopefully still improving quickly and should be fully on song for Goodwood specialist Richard Hannon and the meeting sponsor’s Al Shaqab Racing.
SBC News: Rex Imperator
Rex Imperator is quite well placed to win this one, in form after placing at Doncaster in June.
Bettingexpert: Jacks Revenge
Will relish a huge field round here and can come through late if getting the gaps.
Afjaan looked unlucky not to prevail given how poorly placed he was on his recent return at Lingfield, especially in comparison to the winner, and this lightly-raced 4-y-o remains capable of better, so is very much one to keep on side.
Colossus Bets: Twin Sails
The draw is absolutely crucial on the 7f / 1m course at Goodwood where it is a huge advantage to be drawn low. Twin Sails ran his best race of the season last time out at York and can make his presence felt from stall 3. Acts on the track having been beaten less than a length behind Galileo Gold in a Group 2 last season.